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Predicting the Winners: 97th Academy Awards

Best Picture

  • “Anora” (Neon)
  • “The Brutalist” (A24)
  • “A Complete Unknown” (Searchlight)
  • “Conclave” (Focus)
  • “Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
  • “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
  • “I’m Still Here” (Sony Classics)
  • “Nickel Boys” (Amazon/MGM)
  • “The Substance” (Mubi)
  • “Wicked” (Universal)

Will Win: Conclave

Could Win: Anora

Want to Win: Wicked or Emilia Perez

Best Director

  • Sean Baker, “Anora”
  • Brady Corbet, “The Brutalist”
  • James Mangold, “A Complete Unknown”
  • Jacques Audiard, “Emilia Pérez”
  • Coralie Fargeat, “The Substance”

Will Win: Sean Baker

Could Win: Brady Corbet

Want to Win: Coralie Fargeat

Best Actress

  • Cynthia Erivo, “Wicked”
  • Karla Sofia Gascón, “Emilia Pérez”
  • Mikey Madison, “Anora”
  • Demi Moore, “The Substance”
  • Fernanda Torres, “I’m Still Here”

Will Win: Demi Moore

Could Win: Mikey Madison

Want to Win: Demi Moore

Best Actor

  • Adrian Brody, “The Brutalist”
  • Timothée Chalamet, “A Complete Unknown”
  • Colman Domingo, “Sing Sing”
  • Ralph Fiennes, “Conclave”
  • Sebastian Stan, “The Apprentice”

Will Win: Adrian Brody

Could Win: Timothée Chalamet

Want to Win: Timothée Chalamet or Colman Domingo

Best Supporting Actress

  • Monica Barbaro, “A Complete Unknown”
  • Ariana Grande, “Wicked”
  • Felicity Jones, “The Brutalist”
  • Isabella Rossellini, “Conclave”
  • Zoe Saldaña, “Emilia Pérez”

Will Win: Zoe Saldaña

Could Win: Ariana Grande

Want to Win: Zoe Saldaña

Best Supporting Actor

  • Yura Borisov, “Anora”
  • Kieran Culkin, “A Real Pain”
  • Edward Norton, “A Complete Unknown”
  • Guy Pearce, “The Brutalist”
  • Jeremy Strong, “The Apprentice”

Will Win: Kieran Culkin

Could Win: No Contest

Want to Win: Kieran Culkin

Best Original Screenplay

  • “Anora,” Sean Baker
  • “The Brutalist,” Brady Corbet & Mona Fastvold
  • “A Real Pain,” Jesse Eisenberg
  • “September 5,” Tim Fehlbaum & Moritz Binder
  • “The Substance,” Coralie Fargeat

Will Win: Anora

Could Win: A Real Pain

Want to Win: The Substance

Best Adapted Screenplay

  • “A Complete Unknown,” Jay Cocks & James Mangold
  • “Conclave,” Peter Straughan
  • “Emilia Pérez,” Jacques Audiard, Thomas Bidegain & Nicolas Livecchi
  • “Nickel Boys,” RaMell Ross & Joslyn Barnes
  • “Sing Sing,” Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar, Clarence Maclin & John “Divine G” Whitfield

Will Win: Conclave

Could Win: Nickel Boys

Want to Win: Conclave

Best International Feature

  • “I’m Still Here,” Walter Salles (Brazil)
  • “The Girl with the Needle,” Magnus von Horn (Denmark)
  • “Emilia Pérez,” Jacques Audiard (France)
  • “The Seed of the Sacred Fig,” Mohammad Rasoulof (Germany)
  • “Flow,” Miguel Gomes (Latvia)

Will Win: Emilia Perez

Could Win: I’m Still Here

Want to Win: Emilia Perez

Best Documentary Feature

  • “Black Box Diaries,” Shiori Itō (MTV)
  • “No Other Land,” Basel Adra, Hamdan Ballal, Yuval Abraham & Rachel Szor (No distributor)
  • “Porcelain War,” Brendan Bellomo & Slava Leontyev (Picturehouse)
  • “Soundtrack to a Coup d’Etat,” Johan Grimonprez (Kino Lorber)
  • “Sugarcane,” Julian Brave NoiseCat & Emily Kassie (Nat Geo)

Will Win: No Other Land

Could Win: Porcelain War

Want to Win: Any of them

Best Animated Feature

  • “Flow” (Janus Films/Sideshow)
  • “Inside Out 2” (Disney/Pixar)
  • “Memoir of a Snail” (IFC Films)
  • “Wallace & Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl” (Aardman/Netflix)
  • “The Wild Robot” (Dreamworks/Universal)

Will Win: The Wild Robot

Could Win: Flow

Want to Win: Inside Out 2 or The Wild Robot

Best Cinematography

  • “The Brutalist,” Lol Crawley
  • “Dune: Part Two,” Greig Fraser
  • “Emilia Pérez,” Paul Guillaume
  • “Maria,” Edward Lachman
  • “Nosferatu,” Jarin Blaschke

Will Win: The Brutalist

Could Win: Dune: Part Two

Want to Win: Dune: Part Two

Best Costume Design

  • “A Complete Unknown,” Arianne Phillips
  • “Conclave,” Lisy Christl
  • “Gladiator II,” Janty Yates
  • “Nosferatu,” Linda Muir
  • “Wicked,” Paul Tazewell

Will Win: Wicked

Could Win: Nosferatu

Want to Win: Wicked

Best Film Editing

  • “Anora,” Sean Baker
  • “The Brutalist,” Dávid Jancsó
  • “Conclave,” Nick Emerson
  • “Emilia Pérez,” Juliette Welfling
  • “Wicked,” Myron Kerstein

Will Win: Conclave

Could Win: Anora

Want to Win: Wicked

Best Production Design

  • “The Brutalist,” Judy Becker
  • “Conclave,” Suzie Davies
  • “Dune: Part Two,” Patrice Vermette
  • “Nosferatu,” Craig Lathrop
  • “Wicked,” Nathan Crowley

Will Win: Wicked

Could Win: Dune: Part Two

Want to Win: Wicked

Best Original Score

  • “The Brutalist,” Daniel Blumberg
  • “Conclave,” Volker Bertelmann
  • “Emilia Pérez,” Clément Ducol & Camille
  • “Wicked,” John Powell & Stephen Schwartz
  • “The Wild Robot,” Kris Bowers

Will Win: The Brutalist

Could Win: Conclave

Want to Win: Wicked

Best Original Song

  • “Never Too Late,” “Elton John: Never Too Late” (Elton John & Brandi Carlile)
  • “El Mal,” “Emilia Pérez” (Clement Ducol, Camille & Jacques Audiard)
  • “Mi Camino,” “Emilia Pérez” (Clement Ducol & Camille)
  • “Like a Bird,” “Sing Sing” (Adrian Quesada & Abraham Alexander)
  • “The Journey,” “The Six Triple Eight” (Diane Warren)

Will Win: El Mal

Could Win: The Journey

Want to Win: El Mal

Best Sound

  • “A Complete Unknown”
  • “Dune: Part Two”
  • “Emilia Pérez”
  • “Wicked”
  • “The Wild Robot”

Will Win: Dune: Part Two

Could Win: A Complete Unknown

Want to Win: Dune: Part Two

Best Visual Effects

  • “Alien: Romulus”
  • “Better Man”
  • “Dune: Part Two”
  • “Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes”
  • “Wicked”

Will Win: Dune: Part Two

Could Win: Wicked

Want to Win: Dune: Part Two

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

  • “A Different Man”
  • “Emilia Pérez”
  • “Nosferatu”
  • “The Substance”
  • “Wicked”

Will Win: The Substance

Could Win: Nosferatu

Want to Win: The Substance

Best Documentary Short

  • “Death by Numbers”
  • “I Am Ready, Warden”
  • “Incident”
  • “Instruments of a Beating Heart”
  • “The Only Girl in the Orchestra”

Will Win: The Only Girl in the Orchestra

Could Win: I Am Ready, Warden

Want to Win: The Only Girl in the Orchestra

Best Animated Short

  • “Beautiful Men”
  • “In the Shadow of the Cypress”
  • “Magic Candies”
  • “Wander to Wonder”
  • “Yuck!”

Will Win: Wander to Wonder

Could Win: Yuck!

Want to Win: Wander to Wonder

Best Live-Action Short

  • “A Lien”
  • “Anuja”
  • “I’m Not a Robot”
  • “The Last Ranger”
  • “The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent”

Will Win: Anuja

Could Win: The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent

Want to Win: Anuja

THE OSCARS ARE SET TO AIR LIVE, MARCH 2, ON ABC

Predicting the Winners: 96th Academy Awards

Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role

  • Bradley Cooper in “Maestro”
  • Colman Domingo in “Rustin”
  • Paul Giamatti in “The Holdovers”
  • Cillian Murphy in “Oppenheimer”
  • Jeffrey Wright in “American Fiction”

Will Win: Cillian Murphy

Could Win: Paul Giamatti

Want to Win: Bradley Cooper or Jeffrey Wright

Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role

  • Sterling K. Brown in “American Fiction”
  • Robert De Niro in “Killers of the Flower Moon”
  • Robert Downey Jr. in “Oppenheimer”
  • Ryan Gosling in “Barbie”
  • Mark Ruffalo in “Poor Things”

Will Win: Rober Downey Jr.

Could Win: No Contest

Want to Win: Ryan Gosling

Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role

  • Annette Bening in “Nyad”
  • Lily Gladstone in “Killers of the Flower Moon”
  • Sandra Hüller in “Anatomy of a Fall”
  • Carey Mulligan in “Maestro”
  • Emma Stone in “Poor Things”

Will Win: Lily Gladstone

Could Win: Emma Stone

Want to Win: Carey Mulligan or Lily Gladstone

Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role

  • Emily Blunt in “Oppenheimer”
  • Danielle Brooks in “The Color Purple”
  • America Ferrera in “Barbie”
  • Jodie Foster in “Nyad”
  • Da’Vine Joy Randolph in “The Holdovers”

Will Win: Da’Vine Joy Randolph

Could Win: No Contest

Want to Win: Da’Vine Joy Randolph

Best Animated Feature Film of the Year

  • “The Boy and the Heron” Hayao Miyazaki and Toshio Suzuki
  • “Elemental” Peter Sohn and Denise Ream
  • “Nimona” Nick Bruno, Troy Quane, Karen Ryan and Julie Zackary
  • “Robot Dreams” Pablo Berger, Ibon Cormenzana, Ignasi Estapé and Sandra Tapia Díaz
  • “Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse” Kemp Powers, Justin K. Thompson, Phil Lord, Christopher Miller and Amy Pascal

Will Win: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Could Win: The Boy and the Heron

Want to Win: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Achievement in Cinematography

  • “El Conde” Edward Lachman
  • “Killers of the Flower Moon” Rodrigo Prieto
  • “Maestro” Matthew Libatique
  • “Oppenheimer” Hoyte van Hoytema
  • “Poor Things” Robbie Ryan

Will Win: Oppenheimer

Could Win: Poor Things

Want to Win: Maestro

Achievement in Costume Design

  • “Barbie” Jacqueline Durran
  • “Killers of the Flower Moon” Jacqueline West
  • “Napoleon” Janty Yates and Dave Crossman
  • “Oppenheimer” Ellen Mirojnick
  • “Poor Things” Holly Waddington

Will Win: Barbie

Could Win: Poor Things

Want to Win: Barbie

Achievement in Directing

  • “Anatomy of a Fall” Justine Triet
  • “Killers of the Flower Moon” Martin Scorsese
  • “Oppenheimer” Christopher Nolan
  • “Poor Things” Yorgos Lanthimos
  • “The Zone of Interest” Jonathan Glazer

Will Win: Christopher Nolan

Could Win: No Contest

Want to Win: Christopher Nolan

Best Documentary Feature Film

  • “Bobi Wine: The People’s President” Moses Bwayo, Christopher Sharp and John Battsek
  • “The Eternal Memory” Nominees to be determined
  • “Four Daughters” Kaouther Ben Hania and Nadim Cheikhrouha
  • “To Kill a Tiger” Nisha Pahuja, Cornelia Principe and David Oppenheim
  • “20 Days in Mariupol” Mstyslav Chernov, Michelle Mizner and Raney Aronson-Rath

Will Win: 20 Days in Mariupol

Could Win: Four Daughters

Want to Win: 20 Days in Mariupol

Best Documentary Short Film

  • “The ABCs of Book Banning” Sheila Nevins and Trish Adlesic
  • “The Barber of Little Rock” John Hoffman and Christine Turner
  • “Island in Between” S. Leo Chiang and Jean Tsien
  • “The Last Repair Shop” Ben Proudfoot and Kris Bowers
  • “Nǎi Nai & Wài Pó” Sean Wang and Sam Davis

Will Win: The Last Repair Shop

Could Win: The Barber of Little Rock

Want to Win: The Last Repair Shop or The ABCs of Book Banning

Achievement in Film Editing

  • “Anatomy of a Fall” Laurent Sénéchal
  • “The Holdovers” Kevin Tent
  • “Killers of the Flower Moon” Thelma Schoonmaker
  • “Oppenheimer” Jennifer Lame
  • “Poor Things” Yorgos Mavropsaridis

Will Win: Oppenheimer

Could Win: Poor Things

Want to Win: Oppenheimer

Best International Feature Film of the Year

  • “Io Capitano” Italy
  • “Perfect Days” Japan
  • “Society of the Snow” Spain
  • “The Teachers’ Lounge” Germany
  • “The Zone of Interest” United Kingdom

Will Win: The Zone of Interest

Could Win: Society of Snow

Want to Win: The Zone of Interest

Achievement in Makeup and Hairstyling

  • “Golda” Karen Hartley Thomas, Suzi Battersby and Ashra Kelly-Blue
  • “Maestro” Kazu Hiro, Kay Georgiou and Lori McCoy-Bell
  • “Oppenheimer” Luisa Abel
  • “Poor Things” Nadia Stacey, Mark Coulier and Josh Weston
  • “Society of the Snow” Ana López-Puigcerver, David Martí and Montse Ribé

Will Win: Maestro

Could Win: Poor Things

Want to Win: Maestro

Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures (Original score)

  • “American Fiction” Laura Karpman
  • “Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny” John Williams
  • “Killers of the Flower Moon” Robbie Robertson
  • “Oppenheimer” Ludwig Göransson
  • “Poor Things” Jerskin Fendrix

Will Win: Oppenheimer

Could Win: Poor Things

Want to Win: American Fiction

Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures (Original song)

  • “The Fire Inside” from “Flamin’ Hot”
    Music and Lyric by Diane Warren
  • “I’m Just Ken” from “Barbie”
    Music and Lyric by Mark Ronson and Andrew Wyatt
  • “It Never Went Away” from “American Symphony”
    Music and Lyric by Jon Batiste and Dan Wilson
  • “Wahzhazhe (A Song For My People)” from “Killers of the Flower Moon”
    Music and Lyric by Scott George
  • “What Was I Made For?” from “Barbie”
    Music and Lyric by Billie Eilish and Finneas O’Connell

Will Win: “What Was I Made For”

Could Win: “I’m Just Ken”

Want to Win: “I’m Just Ken”

Best Motion Picture of the Year

  • “American Fiction” Ben LeClair, Nikos Karamigios, Cord Jefferson and Jermaine Johnson, Producers
  • “Anatomy of a Fall” Marie-Ange Luciani and David Thion, Producers
  • “Barbie” David Heyman, Margot Robbie, Tom Ackerley and Robbie Brenner, Producers
  • “The Holdovers” Mark Johnson, Producer
  • “Killers of the Flower Moon” Dan Friedkin, Bradley Thomas, Martin Scorsese and Daniel Lupi, Producers
  • “Maestro” Bradley Cooper, Steven Spielberg, Fred Berner, Amy Durning and Kristie Macosko Krieger, Producers
  • “Oppenheimer” Emma Thomas, Charles Roven and Christopher Nolan, Producers
  • “Past Lives” David Hinojosa, Christine Vachon and Pamela Koffler, Producers
  • “Poor Things” Ed Guiney, Andrew Lowe, Yorgos Lanthimos and Emma Stone, Producers
  • “The Zone of Interest” James Wilson, Producer

Will Win: Oppenheimer

Could Win: Barbie

Want to Win: Barbie or American Fiction

Achievement in Production Design

  • “Barbie” Production Design: Sarah Greenwood; Set Decoration: Katie Spencer
  • “Killers of the Flower Moon” Production Design: Jack Fisk; Set Decoration: Adam Willis
  • “Napoleon” Production Design: Arthur Max; Set Decoration: Elli Griff
  • “Oppenheimer” Production Design: Ruth De Jong; Set Decoration: Claire Kaufman
  • “Poor Things” Production Design: James Price and Shona Heath; Set Decoration: Zsuzsa Mihalek

Will Win: Barbie

Could Win: Poor Things

Want to Win: Poor Things or Barbie

Best Animated Short Film

  • “Letter to a Pig” Tal Kantor and Amit R. Gicelter
  • “Ninety-Five Senses” Jerusha Hess and Jared Hess
  • “Our Uniform” Yegane Moghaddam
  • “Pachyderme” Stéphanie Clément and Marc Rius
  • “WAR IS OVER! Inspired by the Music of John & Yoko” Dave Mullins and Brad Booker

Will Win: WAR IS OVER!

Could Win: Letter to a Pig

Want to Win: WAR IS OVER or Our Uniform

Best Live Action Short Film

  • “The After” Misan Harriman and Nicky Bentham
  • “Invincible” Vincent René-Lortie and Samuel Caron
  • “Knight of Fortune” Lasse Lyskjær Noer and Christian Norlyk
  • “Red, White and Blue” Nazrin Choudhury and Sara McFarlane
  • “The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar” Wes Anderson and Steven Rales

Will Win: Red, White and Blue

Could Win: The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar

Want to Win: Red, White and Blue

Achievement in Sound

  • “The Creator” Ian Voigt, Erik Aadahl, Ethan Van der Ryn, Tom Ozanich and Dean Zupancic
  • “Maestro” Steven A. Morrow, Richard King, Jason Ruder, Tom Ozanich and Dean Zupancic
  • “Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One” Chris Munro, James H. Mather, Chris Burdon and Mark Taylor
  • “Oppenheimer” Willie Burton, Richard King, Gary A. Rizzo and Kevin O’Connell
  • “The Zone of Interest” Tarn Willers and Johnnie Burn

Will Win: Oppenheimer

Could Win: The Zone of Interest

Want to Win: Maestro

Achievement in Visual Effects

  • “The Creator” Jay Cooper, Ian Comley, Andrew Roberts and Neil Corbould
  • “Godzilla Minus One” Takashi Yamazaki, Kiyoko Shibuya, Masaki Takahashi and Tatsuji Nojima
  • “Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3” Stephane Ceretti, Alexis Wajsbrot, Guy Williams and Theo Bialek
  • “Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One” Alex Wuttke, Simone Coco, Jeff Sutherland and Neil Corbould
  • “Napoleon” Charley Henley, Luc-Ewen Martin-Fenouillet, Simone Coco and Neil Corbould

Will Win: Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3

Could Win: Godzilla Minus One

Want to Win: Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3

Adapted Screenplay

  • “American Fiction” Written for the screen by Cord Jefferson
  • “Barbie” Written by Greta Gerwig & Noah Baumbach
  • “Oppenheimer” Written for the screen by Christopher Nolan
  • “Poor Things” Screenplay by Tony McNamara
  • “The Zone of Interest” Written by Jonathan Glazer

Will Win: Barbie

Could Win: American Fiction

Want to Win: American Fiction or Barbie

Original Screenplay

  • “Anatomy of a Fall” Screenplay – Justine Triet and Arthur Harari
  • “The Holdovers” Written by David Hemingson
  • “Maestro” Written by Bradley Cooper & Josh Singer
  • “May December” Screenplay by Samy Burch; Story by Samy Burch & Alex Mechanik
  • “Past Lives” Written by Celine Song

Will Win: Anatomy of a Fall

Could Win: Past Lives

Want to Win: May December

THE OSCARS ARE SET TO AIR LIVE, MARCH 10, ON ABC

Predicting the Winners: 95th Academy Awards

Best Picture

  • All Quiet on the Western Front (Netflix) Malte Grunert, Producer
  • Avatar: The Way of Water (20th Century Studios) James Cameron and Jon Landau, Producers
  • The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures) Graham Broadbent, Pete Czernin and Martin McDonagh, Producers
  • Elvis (Warner Bros) Baz Luhrmann, Catherine Martin, Gail Berman, Patrick McCormick and Schuyler Weiss, Producers
  • Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24) Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert and Jonathan Wang, Producers
  • The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures) Kristie Macosko Krieger, Steven Spielberg and Tony Kushner, Producers
  • Tár (Focus Features) Todd Field, Alexandra Milchan and Scott Lambert, Producers
  • Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount Pictures) Tom Cruise, Christopher McQuarrie, David Ellison and Jerry Bruckheimer, Producers
  • Triangle of Sadness (NEON) Erik Hemmendorff and Philippe Bober, Producers
  • Women Talking (United Artists Releasing/Orion Pictures) Dede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner and Frances McDormand, Producers

Will Win: “Everything Everywhere All at Once”

Could Win: “The Fabelmans”

Want to Win: “Everything Everywhere All at Once” or “Top Gun”

Actor in a Leading Role

  • Austin Butler in Elvis
  • Colin Farrell in The Banshees of Inisherin
  • Brendan Fraser in The Whale
  • Paul Mescal in Aftersun
  • Bill Nighy in Living

Will Win: Brendan Fraser

Could Win: Austin Butler

Want to Win: Brendan Fraser

Actor in a Supporting Role

  • Brendan Gleeson in The Banshees of Inisherin
  • Brian Tyree Henry in Causeway
  • Judd Hirsch in The Fabelmans
  • Barry Keoghan in The Banshees of Inisherin
  • Ke Huy Quan in Everything Everywhere All at Once

Will Win: Ke Huy Quan

Could Win: Barry Keoghan

Want to Win: Key Huy Quan

Actress in a Leading Role

  • Cate Blanchett in Tár
  • Ana de Armas in Blonde
  • Andrea Riseborough in To Leslie
  • Michelle Williams in The Fabelmans
  • Michelle Yeoh in Everything Everywhere All at Once

Will Win: Michelle Yeoh

Could Win: Cate Blanchett

Want to Win: Michelle Yeoh

Actress in a Supporting Role

  • Angela Bassett in Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
  • Hong Chau in The Whale
  • Kerry Condon in The Banshees of Inisherin
  • Jamie Lee Curtis in Everything Everywhere All at Once
  • Stephanie Hsu in Everything Everywhere All at Once

Will Win: Angela Bassett

Could Win: Jamie Lee Curtis

Want to Win: Hong Chau or Angela Bassett or Jamie Lee Curtis

Animated Feature Film

  • Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio –Guillermo del Toro, Mark Gustafson, Gary Ungar and Alex Bulkley
  • Marcel the Shell With Shoes On –Dean Fleischer Camp, Elisabeth Holm, Andrew Goldman, Caroline Kaplan and Paul Mezey
  • Puss in Boots: The Last Wish –Joel Crawford and Mark Swift
  • The Sea Beast –Chris Williams and Jed Schlanger
  • Turning Red –Domee Shi and Lindsey Collins

Will Win: “Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio”

Could Win: No Contest

Want to Win: “Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio”

Cinematography

  • All Quiet on the Western Front –James Friend
  • Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths –Darius Khondji
  • Elvis –Mandy Walker
  • Empire of Light –Roger Deakins
  • Tár –Florian Hoffmeister

Will Win: “All Quiet on the Western Front”

Could Win: “Elvis”

Want to Win: “All Quiet on the Western Front”

Costume Design

  • Babylon –Mary Zophres
  • Black Panther: Wakanda Forever –Ruth Carter
  • Elvis –Catherine Martin
  • Everything Everywhere All at Once –Shirley Kurata
  • Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris –Jenny Beavan

Will Win: “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”

Could Win: “Elvis”

Want to Win: “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”

Directing

  • Martin McDonagh, The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures)
  • Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert, Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)
  • Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)
  • Todd Field, Tár (Focus Features)
  • Ruben Östlund, Triangle of Sadness (NEON)

Will Win: Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert

Could Win: Steven Spielberg

Want to Win: Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert

Documentary Feature Film

  • All That Breathes –Shaunak Sen, Aman Mann and Teddy Leifer
  • All the Beauty and the Bloodshed –Laura Poitras, Howard Gertler, John Lyons, Nan Goldin and Yoni Golijov
  • Fire of Love –Sara Dosa, Shane Boris and Ina Fichman
  • A House Made of Splinters –Simon Lereng Wilmont and Monica Hellström
  • Navalny –Daniel Roher, Odessa Rae, Diane Becker, Melanie Miller and Shane Boris

Will Win: “Navalny”

Could Win: “All the Beauty and the Bloodshed”

Want to Win: “Fire of Love”

Documentary Short Film

  • The Elephant Whisperers –Kartiki Gonsalves and Guneet Monga
  • Haulout –Evgenia Arbugaeva and Maxim Arbugaev
  • How Do You Measure a Year? –Jay Rosenblatt
  • The Martha Mitchell Effect –Anne Alvergue and Beth Levison
  • Stranger at the Gate –Joshua Seftel and Conall Jones

Will Win: “The Elephant Whisperers”

Could Win: “Stranger at the Gate”

Want to Win: “The Elephant Whisperers” or “Stranger at the Gate”

Film Editing

  • The Banshees of Inisherin –Mikkel E.G. Nielsen
  • Elvis –Matt Villa and Jonathan Redmond
  • Everything Everywhere All at Once –Paul Rogers
  • Tár –Monika Willi
  • Top Gun: Maverick –Eddie Hamilton

Will Win: “Everything Everywhere All at Once”

Could Win: “Top Gun: Maverick”

Want to Win: “Everything Everywhere All at Once”

International Feature Film

  • All Quiet on the Western Front –Germany
  • Argentina, 1985 –Argentina
  • Close –Belgium
  • EO –Poland
  • The Quiet Girl –Ireland

Will Win: “All Quiet on the Western Front”

Could Win: No Contest

Want to Win: “RRR” should be nominated

Makeup and Hairstyling

  • All Quiet on the Western Front –Heike Merker and Linda Eisenhamerová
  • The Batman –Naomi Donne, Mike Marino and Mike Fontaine
  • Black Panther: Wakanda Forever –Camille Friend and Joel Harlow
  • Elvis –Mark Coulier, Jason Baird and Aldo Signoretti
  • The Whale –Adrien Morot, Judy Chin and Anne Marie Bradley

Will Win: “The Whale”

Could Win: “Elvis”

Want to Win: “The Whale”

Music (Original Score)

  • All Quiet on the Western Front –Volker Bertelmann
  • Babylon –Justin Hurwitz
  • The Banshees of Inisherin –Carter Burwell
  • Everything Everywhere All at Once –Son Lux
  • The Fabelmans –John Williams

Will Win: “Babylon”

Could Win: “The Fabelmans”

Want to Win: “Babylon”

Music (Original Song)

  • “Applause” from Tell It like a Woman –Music and Lyric by Diane Warren
  • “Hold My Hand” from Top Gun: Maverick –Music and Lyric by Lady Gaga and BloodPop
  • “Lift Me Up” from Black Panther: Wakanda Forever –Music by Tems, Rihanna, Ryan Coogler and Ludwig Goransson; Lyric by Tems and Ryan Coogler
  • “Naatu Naatu” from RRR –Music by M.M. Keeravaani; Lyric by Chandrabose
  • “This Is A Life” from Everything Everywhere All at Once –Music by Ryan Lott, David Byrne and Mitski; Lyric by Ryan Lott and David Byrne

Will Win: “Naatu Naatu”

Could Win: No Contest

Want to Win: “Naatu Naatu”

Production Design

  • All Quiet on the Western Front –Production Design: Christian M. Goldbeck; Set Decoration: Ernestine Hipper
  • Avatar: The Way of Water –Production Design: Dylan Cole and Ben Procter; Set Decoration: Vanessa Cole
  • Babylon –Production Design: Florencia Martin; Set Decoration: Anthony Carlino
  • Elvis –Production Design: Catherine Martin and Karen Murphy; Set Decoration: Bev Dunn
  • The Fabelmans –Production Design: Rick Carter; Set Decoration: Karen O’Hara

Will Win: “Babylon”

Could Win: “All Quiet on the Western Front”

Want to Win: “Babylon”

Animated Short Film

  • The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse –Charlie Mackesy and Matthew Freud
  • The Flying Sailor –Amanda Forbis and Wendy Tilby
  • Ice Merchants –João Gonzalez and Bruno Caetano
  • My Year of Dicks –Sara Gunnarsdóttir and Pamela Ribon
  • An Ostrich Told Me the World Is Fake and I Think I Believe It –Lachlan Pendragon

Will Win: “The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse”

Could Win: “Ice Merchants”

Want to Win: “The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse”

Live Action Short Film

  • An Irish Goodbye –Tom Berkeley and Ross White
  • Ivalu –Anders Walter and Rebecca Pruzan
  • Le Pupille –Alice Rohrwacher and Alfonso Cuarón
  • Night Ride –Eirik Tveiten and Gaute Lid Larssen
  • The Red Suitcase – Cyrus Neshvad

Will Win: The Red Suitcase

Could Win: “An Irish Goodbye” or “Le Pupille”

Want to Win: “The Red Suitcase

Sound

  • All Quiet on the Western Front –Viktor Prášil, Frank Kruse, Markus Stemler, Lars Ginzel and Stefan Korte
  • Avatar: The Way of Water –Julian Howarth, Gwendolyn Yates Whittle, Dick Bernstein, Christopher Boyes, Gary Summers and Michael Hedges
  • The Batman –Stuart Wilson, William Files, Douglas Murray and Andy Nelson
  • Elvis –David Lee, Wayne Pashley, Andy Nelson and Michael Keller
  • Top Gun: Maverick –Mark Weingarten, James H. Mather, Al Nelson, Chris Burdon and Mark Taylor

Will Win: “Top Gun: Maverick”

Could Win: “All Quiet on the Western Front”

Want to Win: “Top Gun: Maverick”

Visual Effects

  • All Quiet on the Western Front –Frank Petzold, Viktor Müller, Markus Frank and Kamil Jafar
  • Avatar: The Way of Water –Joe Letteri, Richard Baneham, Eric Saindon and Daniel Barrett
  • The Batman –Dan Lemmon, Russell Earl, Anders Langlands and Dominic Tuohy
  • Black Panther: Wakanda Forever –Geoffrey Baumann, Craig Hammack, R. Christopher White and Dan Sudick
  • Top Gun: Maverick –Ryan Tudhope, Seth Hill, Bryan Litson and Scott R. Fisher

Will Win: “Avatar: The Way of Water”

Could Win: “Top Gun: Maverick”

Want to Win: “Avatar: The Way of Water”

Writing (Adapted Screenplay)

  • All Quiet on the Western Front –Screenplay by Edward Berger, Lesley Paterson & Ian Stokell
  • Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery –Written by Rian Johnson
  • Living –Written by Kazuo Ishiguro
  • Top Gun: Maverick –Screenplay by Ehren Kruger and Eric Warren Singer and Christopher McQuarrie; Story by Peter Craig and Justin Marks
  • Women Talking –Screenplay by Sarah Polley

Will Win: “Women Talking”

Could Win: “Top Gun: Maverick”

Want to Win: “Women Talking”

Writing (Original Screenplay)

  • The Banshees of Inisherin –Written by Martin McDonagh
  • Everything Everywhere All at Once –Written by Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert
  • The Fabelmans –Written by Steven Spielberg & Tony Kushner
  • Tár –Written by Todd Field
  • Triangle of Sadness –Written by Ruben Östlund

Will Win: “Everything Everywhere All at Once”

Could Win: “The Banshees of Inisherin”

Want to Win: “Everything Everywhere All at Once”

THE OSCARS SET TO AIR LIVE, MARCH 12, ON ABC